The Trader Harbor
  • Business
  • Politics
  • World News
  • Stocks
  • Business
  • Politics
  • World News
  • Stocks

The Trader Harbor

Stocks

Intermediate-Term Bearish Head & Shoulders on Semiconductors (SMH)

by admin September 9, 2024
September 9, 2024
Intermediate-Term Bearish Head & Shoulders on Semiconductors (SMH)

We are always on the lookout for chart patterns. Recently, we’ve found a bearish head-and-shoulders developing on Semiconductors (SMH).

Looking at the daily chart below, we can see the pattern developing. However, we do have to point out participation. Note the very low percentages on %Stocks > 20/50EMAs. These are clearly oversold readings and, if we look back at the vertical green lines that mark cardinal price bottoms, you’ll note they were at these levels. One thing to keep in mind is that oversold conditions can persist in a bear market. SMH is down over 20% from the July top, so we could see low readings for some time.

The Silver Cross Index is about to see a Bearish Shift across the signal line, and that would give us a Bearish Bias in the intermediate term. It is already at a very low 36% reading, suggesting how unhealthy this group is.

This head-and-shoulders pattern looks dangerous. Textbooks tell us that a break below the neckline would imply a downside move that is the height of the pattern. That would take price back down to 120.00. We doubt that will happen, but 160.00 doesn’t seem out of the question if this pattern executes.

Conclusion: Semiconductors (SMH) are in a bear market and are now forming a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern that would imply a drop well below 160.00. Given participation readings are very oversold, we aren’t so sure it will see that kind of devastation, but we definitely should be prepared for more downside from this group.


Introducing the New Scan Alert System!

Delivered to your email box at the end of the market day. You’ll get the results of our proprietary scans that Erin uses to pick her “Diamonds in the Rough” for the DecisionPoint Diamonds Report. Get all of the results and see which ones you like best! Only $29/month! Or, use our free trial to try it out for two weeks using coupon code: DPTRIAL2. Click HERE to subscribe NOW!


Learn more about DecisionPoint.com:


Watch the latest episode of the DecisionPointTrading Room on DP’s YouTube channel here!


Try us out for two weeks with a trial subscription!

Use coupon code: DPTRIAL2 Subscribe HERE!


Technical Analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball. –Carl Swenlin


(c) Copyright 2024 DecisionPoint.com


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

DecisionPoint is not a registered investment advisor. Investment and trading decisions are solely your responsibility. DecisionPoint newsletters, blogs or website materials should NOT be interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security or to take any specific action.


Helpful DecisionPoint Links:

Trend Models

Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO)

On Balance Volume

Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STO-B and STO-V)

ITBM and ITVM

SCTR Ranking

Bear Market Rules


0
FacebookTwitterGoogle +Pinterest
previous post
Bold prediction: What the Senate GOP campaign chair says about winning back the majority
next post
U.S. airlines cool hiring after adding 194,000 employees in post-Covid spree

Related Posts

Fed Watch: Key Bullish Patterns in the S&P...

May 8, 2025

Why the S&P 500 Going Sideways is the...

September 6, 2024

Master The Most Underutilized Options Income Strategy: Cash-Secured...

May 16, 2024

DP Trading Room: Upside Initiation Climax (Should We...

June 4, 2024

Market Movements Today: Investors Rejoice as Stocks Rally,...

November 26, 2024

What’s Really Driving Tesla’s Surprising Stock Surge?

April 25, 2024

One MAJOR Concern About Friday’s Rally

June 3, 2024

Is a New Market Uptrend Starting? Key Signals...

March 18, 2025

Best Way to Capitalize on Election Rally!

November 9, 2024

SCTR Report: China Adds More Stimulus, FXI in...

September 27, 2024

    Stay updated with the latest news, exclusive offers, and special promotions. Sign up now and be the first to know! As a member, you'll receive curated content, insider tips, and invitations to exclusive events. Don't miss out on being part of something special.


    By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

    Latest

    • Microsoft says goodbye to the Windows blue screen of death

      July 1, 2025
    • Home Depot is buying GMS for about $4.3 billion as retailer chases more home pros

      July 1, 2025
    • Home Depot is buying GMS for about $4.3 billion as it chases more home pros

      July 1, 2025
    • Google makes first foray into fusion in venture with MIT spinoff Commonwealth Fusion Systems

      July 1, 2025
    • The Best Five Sectors, #25

      July 1, 2025
    • Pullbacks & Reversals: Stocks Setting Up for Big Moves!

      July 1, 2025

    Categories

    • Business (1,276)
    • Politics (3,883)
    • Stocks (1,480)
    • Uncategorized (45)
    • World News (1,269)
    • About us
    • Contact us
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms & Conditions

    Disclaimer: TheTraderHarbor, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2025 thetraderharbor.com | All Rights Reserved